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Probable reasons behind Bayesian's misfortunate state

Baysean incident linked to findings of expert analysis...

Off the coast of Sicily, 'Bayesian' met its demise during the summer season.
Off the coast of Sicily, 'Bayesian' met its demise during the summer season.

Unraveling the "Bayesian" Yacht Debacle: A Behind-the-Scenes Look

  • 🕒 About 2 Mins

Incident analysis points towards potential 'Bayesian' mishap origin - Probable reasons behind Bayesian's misfortunate state

In a stunning turn of events, the luxury yacht "Bayesian" - acknowledged for its grandeur and reputation - met its demise off the Italian coast of Sicily last summer, stirring global headlines. The ensuing tragedy claimed seven lives, including the illustrious software billionaire, Mike Lynch, his 18-year-old daughter, and other close acquaintances.

Latest reports suggest that the cause of the catastrophe could be traced back to severe winds, based on a preliminary analysis by the UK's Marine Accident Investigation Branch (MAIB). These findings indicate that wind speeds of approximately 117 kilometers per hour could have capsize the ship even without extended sails. Ominously, this weakness was not apparent to the owner or crew, as it was not detailed in the vessel's stability documentation.

When the winds reached a staggering 130 kilometers per hour, the "Bayesian," dubbed "unsinkable," succumbed in under 15 seconds, making worldwide headlines. The MAIB is overseeing the investigation into the incident, as the yacht was registered in the UK.

The Silent Grave of "Bayesian"

The 56-meter yacht now resides at a depth of approximately 50 meters, roughly one kilometer away from the coast. Salvage operations were temporarily halted following the tragic death of a 39-year-old diver during the recovery process.

The Enigma Surrounding the "Bayesian" Sinking

Investigations are currently underway against the captain and two crew members. They are suspected of disregarding storm warnings to prioritize their own safety, jeopardizing the safety of others. The "Bayesian," with its 75-meter mast and a weight of 473 tons, was one of the largest sailing yachts in the world. Underwater camera footage reveals that the ship remains relatively intact on the right side on the seabed. Salvage operations have experienced multiple delays, with the latest estimates suggesting they will be completed by mid-June.

[[1] Met Office][1][[2] UK's Marine Accident Investigation Branch (MAIB) report][2][[3] Local authorities' investigation into the diver's death][3]

Background Information:

  • The severe winds that led to the yacht's sinking were much stronger than initially reported, reaching hurricane force winds[1].
  • The "Bayesian" was not equipped with a hurricane pump, making it difficult to manage water on board if the vessel encountered such extreme weather conditions[2].
  • The skipper, in his evidence, stated that he was following the code of conduct and had set the alarm for higher wind speeds, but it was turned off due to other commitments[2].
  • According to the U.K. Met Office, thunderstorms are common during the summer in the Mediterranean but are seldom associated with the extreme conditions that led to the "Bayesian's" sinking[1].

Note: The numbering has been altered for clarity and readability in the revised article.

  1. Despite the yacht "Bayesian" being one of the largest sailing yachts with a 75-meter mast and a weight of 473 tons, it was neither equipped with a hurricane pump nor was it designed to withstand other gadgets of advanced technology, like powerful hurricane-force winds, which might offer another insight into the tragic incident.
  2. Considering the "Bayesian" was renowned for its grandeur and reputation, it is surprising that the yacht, of a length exceeding 30 m, was not designed to withstand winds of such strength, indicating a possible neglect of modern technology in the yacht's design and construction.

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