Vietnam confronts an influx of electric vehicle titans invading the market
The electric vehicle (EV) market in Vietnam is experiencing a significant boom, with projections indicating that it will continue to expand significantly in the coming years. The market size is estimated to reach around $2.93 billion in 2025, growing at an average annual rate of about 18%, and is forecasted to reach approximately $6.7 billion by 2030[1][5].
Current Scenario:
Vietnam's EV segment has witnessed a growth of approximately 187.6% in the first half of 2025 alone, currently accounting for about 34% of the automotive sector[2]. Total vehicle sales have surged, with VAMA reporting a 70.2% increase in the first half of 2025 compared to 2024, signifying strong demand[1].
VinFast, Vietnam's leading domestic EV manufacturer, remains the dominant brand and is the top-selling automaker in the country, selling over 11,000 EV units monthly for three consecutive months as of August 2025. Models like the VF 8 and VF 9 have performed well, and new product lines like the Limo Green are expanding its portfolio[4]. Other international players such as BYD (China), Hyundai (South Korea), and Wuling are actively competing, benefiting from government incentives like Decision 876, which mandates full electrification of urban taxis by 2030[1][2].
Future Outlook:
By 2028, experts forecast one million electric cars will be on Vietnamese roads, potentially reaching 3.5 million by 2040[3]. VinFast faces challenges such as scaling production, competing with global giants like Tesla and BYD, and delays in its North Carolina plant expansion (pushed from 2025 to 2028). Despite this, VinFast continues to push forward as a key player and aims to establish "Made in Vietnam" EVs on the global stage[3].
The Vietnamese government's ongoing support through tax incentives, waived registration fees, and infrastructure development is expected to maintain momentum in EV adoption[3][5]. The combined forces of international brands entering the market and domestic manufacturers like VinFast accelerating production point to Vietnam becoming a significant regional hub for EV production and consumption[2][3].
Implications for the Future:
The EV market's growth is a vital step in greening Vietnam's transport sector as the world moves towards carbon neutrality and sustainable development. Other carmakers in Vietnam still rely on third-party partners or build charging infrastructure from scratch. The government is supporting EV development through tax and fee incentives, with a 50% registration fee reduction for EVs compared to petrol-powered cars.
The lack of charging infrastructure remains a major bottleneck for EV development in Vietnam. However, companies like TMT Motor are planning to deploy up to 30,000 charging points nationwide for the Wuling EV line. To foster competition, manufacturers must address challenges related to pricing, after-sales service networks, and compatibility with Vietnam's charging ecosystem.
The upcoming launch of Ford's Mustang Mach-E could initiate a new EV race, leading to greater model diversity, competitive pricing, and improved service quality. Consumer sentiment is shifting towards EVs due to fluctuating petrol prices and rising fuel costs, as well as increasing accessibility of EV technologies.
In summary, Vietnam's EV market is in a strong growth phase accelerated by government mandates, consumer shift towards green mobility, and competition including both local firms like VinFast and international brands. The outlook for the next decade is robust, with Vietnam poised to become a leading EV market in Southeast Asia with substantial production capacity and growing domestic and export markets.
- The electric vehicle (EV) market growth in Vietnam is not only impacting the domestic automotive industry but also influencing the global EV landscape, with Vietnam aiming to establish "Made in Vietnam" EVs on the global stage.
- The government's support through tax incentives, waived registration fees, and infrastructure development is not only boosting the EV market but also playing a significant role in greening Vietnam's transport sector as the world moves towards carbon neutrality and sustainable development.
- The rise of electric vehicles in Vietnam's markets is transforming the transportation lifestyle, with more individuals opting for EVs due to fluctuating petrol prices and increasing accessibility of EV technologies.
- The electric vehicle industry in Vietnam is attracting the attention of global giants like Tesla and BYD, as well as international players such as BYD (China), Hyundai (South Korea), and Wuling, providing a competitive edge for the future of Vietnam's industry.
- The ongoing encouragement of EV adoption by the Vietnamese government through policy initiatives including Decision 876, which mandates full electrification of urban taxis by 2030, is likely to drive technology advancements and pave the way for the finance sector to invest in the growing EV market.
- The success of local brands like VinFast, the dominant EV manufacturer in Vietnam, serves as a testament to the country's potential in becoming a significant regional hub for EV production and consumption in the near future.
- The expansion of Vietnam's EV market is not limited to the transportation sector but also influencing other industries like technology, artificial intelligence, and finance, with the possibility of electric-vehicle-related businesses and smart-city development emerging in the coming years.